Skyscan Forecast Saturday, July 2, 2016 Richard Garuckas
Today: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. ESE @ 10-15. High 70.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. ENE @ 5-10. Low 61.
Sunday: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers early. ENE @ 10-15. High 74.
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy. Low 60.
Monday: Mix of sun and clouds. High 78.
Tuesday: Mix of sun and clouds. High 86.
Today: Partly Cloudy. High around 79. NE @ 10.
Tonight: P/Cldy to Cloudy w/ showers late. Low 60. E @ 5-10.
Tomorrow: Mo. Cldy w/showers. High 74. E @ 10.
Sunday: Mo. Cldy w/showers. High 74.
Monday (Independence Day): P/Cldy. High around 80.
Thursday’s High in Atlantic was 85. Our 24-hour Low thru 7-a.m. today was 51. Last year on this date, our High in Atlantic was 78 and the low was 58. The All-time Record High in Atlantic on this date was 104 in 1938. The Record Low was 45 in 1938, 1951 & 1995.
Thursday was the last day of June. It also marked the end of the peak season for tornadoes in Iowa. National Weather Service meteorologist Craig Cogil says the state’s only had about a dozen confirmed tornadoes this year, way below the average of 35 by the end of June. Cogil says it’s been a relatively quiet year so far. “In general, we haven’t seen a lot of stormy activity across the state,” Cogil says. “We’ve seen low numbers with hail and wind damage as well. It’s just not been a really active storm season for the state.”
After a lot of hotter-than-normal days during June, Cogil predicts something of a cool-down to start off July, along with maintaining the generally quiet weather year. “We’ll still see storms on and off but nothing real widespread and temperatures certainly look to be at least at normal,” he says. “I’m certain as we head out, we’ll have a few periods of warmer than normal.”
A National Weather Service survey team has confirmed one tornado impacted parts of Harrison and Pottawattamie Counties, Wednesday evening. The twister, rated as an EF-zero on the Fujita scale, packed peak wind gusts of up to 85 mph. On the ground it traveled 4 1/2 miles, damaging crops and trees in an area stretching from around Interstate 680 a little more than 7 miles southwest of Persia, and ended slightly over 5 1/4 miles west of Neola. No structure damage was observed by the Storm Survey Team.
And, while the peak season is wrapping up, Cogil reminds tornadoes can strike any month of the year and we may still get several. “On average, about another 20 or at least 15 to 20,” he says. “It’s the end of the peak season but certainly still a threat of seeing additional (tornadoes) through the end of the year.” On Veterans Day last November, there was an outbreak of tornadoes with 10 twisters being reported in Iowa.
308 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016
EARLY THIS MORNING…CLEAR…COOLER. NORTH WIND NEAR 5 MPH.
TODAY…MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
TONIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WIND NEAR 5 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
SATURDAY…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.
SATURDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH IN THE MID 70S. EAST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE LOWER 60S.
INDEPENDENCE DAY…PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 80S.
The National Weather Service sent a team into southwest Iowa this morning (Thursday) to look for any damage to trees, crops and buildings from last night’s two possible tornadoes. Meteorologist Van DeWald, in the weather service’s Omaha office, says the severe weather rumbled through both Harrison and Pottawattamie counties.
“We had a pretty strong storm that developed near Persia, Iowa, and then moved southwest toward Underwood,” DeWald says. “We do have reports of a couple of tornado touchdowns. We are sending out a survey crew to look at that to see if it’s one tornado or two and to find the beginning and ending points.” Persia and Underwood are about 16 miles apart and he says the area was pelted with large hail during the storm which struck about 6 P-M.
“I don’t believe there’s any injuries and there is some damage out there but it seems to be mostly to trees,” DeWald says. “I haven’t heard of a lot of structural damage at this time.” Iowans will need to keep an eye to the sky as more severe weather is possible within a matter of several hours.
“We do have a cold front coming down into the area,” DeWald says. “That could trigger some thunderstorms throughout the day today. Some of them could be strong, especially this afternoon into early evening.”
Some relatively cool conditions have settled over Iowa to end the month of June, similar to the way the month started. But, State Climatologist Harry Hillaker says it was extremely hot nearly every other day. “Overall, it’ll probably end up being just a little bit shy of being four degrees warmer than a typical June, which may not sound like a lot, but we’d probably have to go back to 1988 to find a June that averaged warmer than this one did,” Hillaker says.
The average High in Atlantic thru the 29th, was 87.4-degrees, which was 4.7-degrees warmer than normal. Statewide, the average temperature for June will wind up being close to 74 degrees, also about 4 degrees warmer than normal.
Statewide, the average temperature for June will wind up being close to 74 degrees. Hillaker expects this will likely be the 11th-hottest June in Iowa in 144 years of records. In Des Moines, temperatures reached the 90s on 13 of June’s 30 days. “We had only one location in the state that managed to get to triple digits during June and that was the town of Little Sioux, between Council Bluffs and Sioux City on the Nebraska border. They hit an even 100 degrees on June 11,” Hillaker says.
The average low for the month of June in Atlantic (through June 29th, was 61.5-degrees, which is 2.7-degrees warmer than normal. Rainfall amounts over the month varied widely, with the heaviest totals in northeast Iowa.
“Some areas up there had well above normal precipitation for the month. A few places are over 10 inches of rainfall for June, which would be roughly about double the usual amount,” Hillaker says. Other areas of the state received very little rain in June. “The west-central and southeast corners of the state saw less than an inch of rain for the full month,” Hillaker says. “June is usually the most reliable month of the year for rainfall, so to get less than an inch is quite unusual,” Hillaker said.
In Atlantic, thru June 29th, we received just eight-tenths of an inch of rain. Normally, we would have received 4.98-inches. The U.S. Drought Monitor indicates “moderate drought conditions” exist over southeast Iowa and most of southern Iowa is abnormally dry.
(Radio Iowa/KJAN weather data)
Today: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers & thunderstorms. High 83. SE-N @ 10.
Tonight: Showers ending. Becoming P/Cldy. Low around 58.
Tomorrow: Partly Cloudy. High near 80. E @ 5-10.
Saturday: Mo. Cldy w/showers. High near 76.
Sunday/Monday: P/Cldy. Highs around 80.
Wednesday’s High in Atlantic was 82. We received .10” rain over the past 24-hours ending at 7-a.m. today. Our 24-hour Low thru 7-a.m. today was 63. Last year on this date, our High in Atlantic was 78 and the low was 62. The All-time Record High in Atlantic on this date was 101 in 1933. The Record Low was 43 in 1940.
633 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2016
…SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY AND NORTHEASTERN PAGE COUNTIES UNTIL 645 AM CDT…
AT 632 AM CDT…DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER VILLISCA…OR 12 MILES WEST OF CORNING…MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…VILLISCA.
THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 34 IN IOWA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 48 AND 51.
TAYLOR IA-ADAMS IA-
627 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2016
…INTENSIFYING STORM MAY PRODUCE DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL…
AT 627 AM CDT…DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER VILLISCA…OR 13 MILES WEST OF CORNING…MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
SHARPSBURG…CONWAY…LAKE OF THREE FIRES STATE PARK AND BEDFORD
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER…CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN DES MOINES .