317 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…SOUTHWESTERN PAGE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST IOWA…SOUTHEASTERN FREMONT COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST IOWA…

* UNTIL 345 PM CDT

AT 327 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER COIN…OR 13

MILES NORTHEAST OF TARKIO…MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD…GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT…PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT DAMAGE

TO ROOFS…SIDING…WINDOWS AND VEHICLES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…

COIN…COLLEGE SPRINGS…YORKTOWN…NORTHBORO AND BLANCHARD. THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 59 IN IOWA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 7.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY…IF ONE IS SPOTTED…ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE…SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 207 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

115 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST IOWA NORTHWEST MISSOURI CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 115 PM UNTIL 700 PM CDT.  COUNTIES INCLUDED IN THE WATCH: ADAIR, ADAMS, AUDUBON, CASS, CARROLL, CRAWFORD, DALLAS, GUTHRIE, FREMONT, MADISON MILLS, MONTGOMERY, PAGE, POTTAWATTAMIE, HARRISON, SHELBY, AND SAC.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE…A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 90 MPH LIKELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF BROKEN BOW NEBRASKA TO 70 MILES EAST OF SHENANDOAH IOWA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

Iowa counties: MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY-FREMONT-PAGE….1130 AM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT:  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS…LARGE HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER THE AREA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. LONG TRACK TORNADOES…VERY LARGE HAIL ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

LARGE HAIL PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO NORTHEAST NEBRASKA THROUGH MID AFTERNOON…WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN ALSO EXPECTED. THESE STORMS COULD MOVE TOWARD EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND WESTERN IOWA THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

LATER THIS AFTERNOON…A WARM FRONT IS FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST FROM NEAR LINCOLN TOWARD FAR SOUTHWEST IOWA. SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS FRONT AND QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE. TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD INITIALLY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS…AND EVENTUALLY DEVELOP INTO A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THIS LINE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL…IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF SOUTHWESTERN IOWA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN OVER MUCH OF THE REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT WILL ALSO LIKELY PRODUCE SOME STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

1054 AM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF IOWA. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH A FEW ISOLATED 5 INCH OR GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. INTENSE RAINFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED AND WILL RESULT IN HEAVY AMOUNTS FALLING OVER SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

Counties in green are under or will be under a Flash Flood Watch

AREA COUNTIES: AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-ADAMS-UNION-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-

FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM TUE. (6/3) THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING (6/4).

* SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS TYPICALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING MAY RISE VERY RAPIDLY TONIGHT…ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

AREA COUNTIES: HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY-FREMONT-PAGE:

FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7-PM TUES. THROUGH WED. MORNING.

1143 AM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

* HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO THE NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-3 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* IN ADDITION TO THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT THROUGH THIS EVENING…THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO LEAD TO STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING LATER TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are forecast to develop late this (Tuesday) afternoon across far western Iowa and will quickly transition eastward this evening. The storms will have the potential to produce damaging winds in excess of 70 mph, large hail, and isolated rain wrapped tornadoes. The severe threat looks to continue through the late evening hours.

In addition to the severe weather threat, very heavy rain will accompany these thunderstorms. Rainfall rates of 3 to 5 inches per hour are possible along and south of Interstate 80. This is likely to lead to areas of flash flooding where rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches will be common, with some areas receiving over 5 inches by Wednesday morning. A Flash Flood Watch in is in effect this evening into Wednesday morning across the southern half of Iowa.

State Climatologist Harry Hillaker says Iowa didn’t see as much rain as it normally does during the month of May. “Preliminarily, it looks like May for the most part was a little bit on the warmer side than usual, thanks to a very warm end to the month,” Hillaker says. “And also most of the state was a bit drier than usual, with precipitation averaging out to about an inch and a third or so less than usual.”

Here in Atlantic, at the KJAN studios, we received 3.41-inches of rain. Normal for the month is 4.32. Hillaker says it has been awhile since we’ve seen a May like this.  He says it was the “Driest May in eight years, and also the driest spring in nine years.” There was another weather issue of note in May.

Hillaker says “Usually May is a pretty big month for severe weather, didn’t really have a large amount of severe weather, did have some. But overall, a little bit quieter than usual.” The average High for the month of May in Atlantic was 74 (normal is 73). The average Low was 49 (normal is 49). Hillaker says the month of June will be off to a stormy start in Iowa with above normal rainfall and near normal temperatures.

The (podcast) Freese-Notis weather forecast for the KJAN listening area, Flood Watch information, & weather info. for Atlantic.

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438 AM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014 T

TODAY AND TONIGHT: A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH…LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS…AND NIGHT TIME TORNADOES ARE ALL POSSIBLE BY THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

WEDNESDAY: THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON…MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 35.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING…AND POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND.

417 AM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT…IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT,VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS TONIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH A FEW ISOLATED 5 INCH OR GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL RATES ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE 3 TO 5 INCHES PER HOUR AND MAY LEAD TO AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING.

AREA COUNTIES: AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-ADAMS-UNION-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD …FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8-PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL RATES OF 3 TO 5 INCHES PER HOUR ARE ANTICIPATED LATE THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WIDESPREAD TOTAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS LOOK TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING…BUT COULD SEE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES OR GREATER.

* SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS TYPICALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING MAY RISE VERY RAPIDLY TONIGHT…ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

Today: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 8 to 13 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight:FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PARTS OF WESTERN/SW IOWA. Showers and thunderstorms. Some storms could be severe, with large hail, damaging winds, and heavy rain. Low around 65. Breezy, with an east southeast wind 8 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 2 and 3 inches possible.
Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. Breezy, with an east wind 7 to 17 mph becoming north northwest in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wed. Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. Northeast wind 5 to 9 mph.
Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. East southeast wind 6 to 8 mph.
Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.