The National Weather Service says a moderate risk for severe weather is in place across northern Iowa this afternoon and evening while a slight risk encompasses much of the remainder of the state. Scattered thunderstorms will linger across the area this morning. An isolated severe storm with quarter sized hail and 60 mph winds are possible with this activity. A line of strong to severe storms is expected to develop over western Iowa by this afternoon.

(Graphic) – NWS Severe Weather potential.

That activity will race northeast and into the area from late afternoon through mid-evening. Very large hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes are likely, especially over the moderate risk region. A few severe storms with a heightened risk for damaging winds are likely over central and northern Iowa along with an attendant large hail and isolated tornado threat. This could become a potentially dangerous situation.

Be prepared to take appropriate actions if severe weather approaches your location. The storms will begin to weaken after midnight. By Saturday, a strong cold front will be passing through the area, ushering in much colder temperatures. Thunderstorm chances will pass to the east with dry and windy conditions in place by the afternoon.

COUNTIES: MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY-FREMONT-PAGE-

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL IOWA, TODAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INITIALLY DEVELOP IN NORTHEAST
NEBRASKA NEAR AND AFTER 2 PM. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND INTO WEST CENTRAL IOWA THROUGH 7 PM. THE  MAIN THREATS FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE VERY LARGE
HAIL…SOME GREATER THAN 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER…STRONG WIND GUSTS
AND TORNADOES.

OTHER THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND EAST OF A
LINE FROM NEAR FREMONT, NE, TO BEATRICE, NE. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP AFTER 4 PM AND MOVE EAST THROUGH EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA BY 7 PM…AND ACROSS SOUTHWEST IOWA THROUGH 10 PM. LARGE HAIL…DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

Here are some reported rainfall amounts from the storms which fell from late Thursday afternoon through early this (Friday) morning (7-a.m.):

The Valley (Hwy 71/I-80 area in Cass County), 3.00″; Atlantic (KJAN), 2.12” (24-hour total…2.2″ as of 8-a.m.); Massena, 1.71″; Oakland, 2.00″; Audubon, .55″; a location south of Avoca, 2.87″; Emerson, .92″; Shenandoah, .23″, Red Oak, .90″, 3 1/4 miles south of Elk Horn received 3.8″, northeast of Atlantic 3.24″ of rain; 4-miles east of Council Bluffs, 2.44″.

If you have a rainfall amount you would like to report, call us at 1-800-283-5526, or e-mail: kjannews@metc.net. Please be sure and tell us where you’re from, the time you measured the rain and any other significant weather observations (Hail, damage, etc.). Thank You!

The Freese-Notis weather forecast for the KJAN listening area, and weather information for Atlantic, including rainfall for the past 24-hours (through 5:30-a.m.)

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Today: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 4pm. Some of the storms could be severe. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Breezy, with a light and variable wind becoming south 15 to 20 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Some of the storms could be severe. Low around 45. South wind 9 to 11 mph becoming west southwest in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. Windy, with a west southwest wind 9 to 14 mph increasing to 18 to 23 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph.
Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. West wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 57. West northwest wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39.

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 68.

4:39-a.m. CDT 10/4/13

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 537 which had been in effect until 5-a.m. today. There are currently no other watches or warnings in effect for the KJAN listening area.

ADAIR-CASS-

408 AM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

…NICKEL HAIL POSSIBLE…

AT 403 AM CDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER CENTRAL CASS COUNTY…MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL…WINDS GREATER THAN 30 MPH…BRIEF MODERATE DOWNPOURS…ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…

MASSENA… BRIDGEWATER… GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW AROUND. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

Strong storms that rolled through western Iowa overnight Thursday into early this (Friday) morning, caused damage to trees in Adair and Guthrie Counties. The National Weather Service says Emergency Management officials for the two counties reported that between 1:30-and 1:35-a.m., numerous tree branches ranging from four- to 6-inches in diameter fell in Adair and Guthrie Center, and there were scattered power outages affecting parts of both towns.

Additional damage reports may be forthcoming, once officials get a better look, after sunrise. The Weather Service issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for the KJAN listening area at around 8:20-p.m., Thursday. A portion of the Watch area in far west/southwest Iowa was replaced by a Tornado Watch about an hour later.  The first severe thunderstorm warnings issued for southwest Iowa came in at around 11:45-p.m., and it affected Mills County. Additional warnings were issued throughout the night, for Montgomery, Pottawattamie, Guthrie and Adair Counties.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH 538 FOR

THE FOLLOWING AREAS…

IN IOWA THIS CANCELS 5 COUNTIES: FREMONT MILLS MONTGOMERY PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE

COUNTIES: MILLS -MONTGOMERY -POTTAWATTAMIE  1230 AM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN MILLS…NORTHERN MONTGOMERY AND EASTERN POTTAWATTAMIE COUNTIES…

AT 1225 AM CDT…SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MINDEN TO CARSON TO EMERSON…MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…

AVOCA…OAKLAND…WALNUT…CARSON…ELLIOTT…MACEDONIA…HANCOCK…

HENDERSON AND GRANT.