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Early outlook shows drier, warmer July

News, Weather

July 3rd, 2025 by Ric Hanson

(Radio Iowa) – The early prediction and pattern of records is leaning toward July being warmer than normal. State climatologist Justin Glisan says the Climate Prediction Center is the first indication. “Seeing a warm signal through the first half of July, but we also see, at least in the six to ten-day outlooks, a lean towards wetter conditions, and then trending back to near normal as we get into the middle of the month,” he says. Glisan says there is a part of Iowa that could be part of a Midwest dry area.

“That covers a portion of southwestern Iowa, so higher probabilities of drier conditions for that part of the state equal chances for the rest of Iowa, he says. Dry weather would follow what he sees in the record books. “If you look at the last 10 years, we have seen a trend in which we see less rainfall in July. So, we’ll just have to see if those outlooks mesh with what the trends have been showing us,” Glisten says . But it’s good that we got the amount of moisture that we did in, in June, which is the lettuce months climatologically for the northern two-thirds of the state.”

Glisan says the June rain will give us a little cushion if things end up being drier in July.