(Radio Iowa) – State climatologist Justin Glisan says the rain we’ve gotten to start the month of June is important because we remain behind for the year. “For the state, about 82 percent of normal, a little over two inches below where we should be. So not dire deficits, but still, you’d think of the four-year drought from 2020 to 2024, we still see longer-term hydrological impacts,” Glisan says. Southwestern Iowa had only about 60 percent of normal rainfall by the end of May. Glisan says normal rainfall starts to drop down after June and that could let the drought seep back in. “If we do get into a warm stretch during the summer time with higher vegetative demand, and higher atmospheric demand, that’s where we could see drought conditions expand given those longer term deficits,” he says.

While there have been a lot of ups and downs through the first five months of this year, Glisan says it has all averaged out. “As of the end of May, we’re right around the average temperature of only two tenth’s of a degree above average, so near normal on the temperature side,” he says. Glisan says the short-term outlook for June could be good news. “We are seeing a lean towards a cooler signal where there’s a big blue bullseye across the Midwest, including Iowa and also, at least in the short term, trend towards weather conditions through let’s say the six to ten-day outlook,” he says. “And when you look at the eight to 14 day outlook, which gets us into the middle of June, basically near normal. So a slight lean towards cooler. And weather conditions for the state.”

Glisan says overall June outlook leans towards warmer temperatures, but there’s no clear signal on the precipitation side.