State panel pares prediction of state tax receipts by $46 million

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March 12th, 2026 by Ric Hanson

(Radio Iowa) – State officials have reduced their prediction of state tax revenue for the current budgeting year by 46 MILLION dollars, but the governor’s budget director says there is no need to cut state spending plans for the next three months. Iowa Department of Management Director Kraig Paulsen says officials have reserves to cover the gap.

“The money’s there to meet those needs,” Paulsen said. Since July 1st, there’s been a more than eight percent declined in the amount of taxes paid to the State of Iowa. The drop is due to the state income tax cut Republican lawmakers approved in 2024, along with federal tax cuts for corporations and for individuals who earn tips and overtime pay.Those changes were automatically triggered in Iowa’s tax code.

“The state has $5.6 billion cash on hand,” Paulsen said, “…The reserve funds are full and the Taxpayer Relief Fund has a balance of $4 billion.” House Democratic Leader Brian Meyer says it’s wrong for Republicans to cover that deficit by making withdrawals from the Taxpayer Relief Fund. “That fund should be used to lower property taxes in the state and other taxes in the state,” Meyer said, “but they’re just raiding it to cover their budget mess.”

The State Revenue Estimating Conference has reduced its overall prediction for tax collections for the next state budgeting year. Jennifer Acton is director of the Fiscal Services Division in the Legislative Services Agency — and is a member of the panel that makes that tax prediction. She says most economic indicators in Iowa are positive, but gas prices are up considerably due to what’s happening in the Middle East and tariffs continue to be drag on the manufacturing and ag sectors.

“We believe it is prudent to be cautious as we look to the future,” Acton said. In January, Governor Reynolds proposed a nearly nine-point-six BILLION dollar budget for the next state fiscal year — a nearly two percent increase. Legislators are starting to work on their own budget plans.