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Tornado Watch issued for parts of western IA

News, Weather

August 31st, 2014 by Ric Hanson

335 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

TORNADO WATCH 479 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS Untitled

IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE: BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY CRAWFORD DICKINSON EMMET HARRISON IDA MILLS MONONA O’BRIEN OSCEOLA PALO ALTO PLYMOUTH POCAHONTAS POTTAWATTAMIE SAC SHELBY SIOUX WOODBURY.

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 335 PM UNTIL 900 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE…A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE; SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE; SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG. AND 60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF SPENCER IOWA TO 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CONCORDIA KANSAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

Updated Forecast for Cass & area Counties in IA

Weather

August 31st, 2014 by Ric Hanson

1130 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

REST OF TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON…THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. BREEZY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 40 PERCENT.

TONIGHT…SHOWERS THROUGH MIDNIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND…LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE EVENING…THEN SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND…LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND…LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.

LABOR DAY…PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON…THEN MOSTLY SUNNY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH MIDNIGHT…THEN PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WIND NEAR 5 MPH.

TUESDAY…SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WIND NEAR 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY…PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGH IN THE LOWER 80S.

Updated western/sw IA & eastern NE Hazardous Weather Outlook

Weather

August 31st, 2014 by Ric Hanson

IA COUNTIES: MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY-FREMONT-PAGE…..NE COUNTIES-KNOX-CEDAR-THURSTON-ANTELOPE-PIERCE-WAYNE-BOONE-MADISON-STANTON-CUMING-BURT-PLATTE-COLFAX-DODGE-WASHINGTON-BUTLER-SAUNDERS-DOUGLAS-SARPY-SEWARD-LANCASTER-CASS-OTOE-SALINE- JEFFERSON-GAGE-JOHNSON-NEMAHA-PAWNEE-RICHARDSON-

1137 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT… ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND STRENGTH SHOULD INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. CURRENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST SEVERE STORMS COULD DEVELOP BETWEEN 4 AND 6 PM IN EASTERN NEBRASKA WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES FOR THE STRONGEST STORMS INITIALLY DEVELOPING FROM OMAHA AND TEKAMAH SOUTHWEST THROUGH LINCOLN…DAVID CITY AND COLUMBUS. HOWEVER…SEVERE STORMS REMAIN A THREAT OVER THE ENTIRE REGION. THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD THEN DEVELOP OR SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA DURING THE EVENING.

LARGE HAIL…DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE ALL POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS AND SOME OF THE HAIL COULD BE VERY LARGE. ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT WITH MORE DISCRETE STORMS THAT MANAGE TO DEVELOP…ALTHOUGH THE ACTIVITY SHOULD BEGIN TO CONSOLIDATE THROUGH EVENING WITH DAMAGING WIND THE PRIMARY THREAT.

MINOR FLOODING SHOULD CONTINUE ALONG SOME SMALL STREAMS IN SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA. THAT FLOODING MAY BE AGGRAVATED OR NEW FLOODING COULD DEVELOP TONIGHT DUE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN THAT MAY FALL. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THE RESULT OF A LARGE DISTURBANCE TRACKING ACROSS THE PLAINS TODAY WHICH WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA BY EVENING AND INTO WESTERN IOWA TONIGHT.

LABOR DAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT FOR PARTS OF THE AREA. THE CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS IN THOSE PERIODS SEEMS LOW AT THIS TIME. THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT…WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THEN FROM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS SEVERAL DISTURBANCES CROSS THE REGION.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…STORM SPOTTERS COULD BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

Hazardous Weather Outlook for the KJAN listening area

Weather

August 31st, 2014 by Ric Hanson

AREA COUNTIES: SAC-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-ADAMS-UNION-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD…430 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

TODAY AND TONIGHT – THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE WEST OF U.S. HIGHWAY 169 BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND OVER THE AREA ENTIRE AREA THIS EVENING. STRONG WINDS AND HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE ARE POSSIBLE. AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS POSSIBLE INTO THE VERY EARLY EVENING HOURS. HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH SOME STORMS PRODUCING RAINFALL TOTALS AROUND 3 INCHES.

AREA COUNTIES: MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY-FREMONT-PAGE

TODAY AND TONIGHT – ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD AFFECT PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THESE WILL PROBABLY REMAIN MOSTLY BELOW SEVERE LIMITS.

MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. CURRENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST SEVERE STORMS COULD DEVELOP BETWEEN 3 AND 5 PM IN EASTERN NEBRASKA. THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES IN THAT TIME ARE ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. STORMS SHOULD THEN DEVELOP OR SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

LARGE HAIL…DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS BUT ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.

NWS Forecast for Atlantic & the KJAN listening area, Sun. 8/31/14

Weather

August 31st, 2014 by Ric Hanson

Today – Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Breezy, with a south wind 7 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight – Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 4am. Some storms could be severe, with large hail, damaging winds, and heavy rain. Low around 66. South southeast wind 10 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Labor Day – A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. West southwest wind around 9 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon.
Monday Night – A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. North northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. West wind 3 to 8 mph.
Wednesday – Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.

Heavy rain, hail, damaging winds & tornadoes possible Sunday

News, Weather

August 30th, 2014 by Ric Hanson

(click on image to enlarge) Area in yellow indicates a “Slight” risk of severe weather.

The National Weather Service in Des Moines reports thunderstorms are expected to develop during peak heating of the day Sunday along a cold front through the Missouri River Valley and then move into Iowa during the late afternoon and early evening hours. Some of the storms may be severe with heavy, potentially flooding rains. Large hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes are all possible.

Many people will likely have outdoor plans this Labor Day weekend. Keep a close eye on the weather, have your safety plan in place and be ready to seek shelter if threatening weather approaches.

(Updated) NWS Forecast for Cass & surrounding counties

Weather

August 30th, 2014 by Ric Hanson

200 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

REST OF TODAY…MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WIND AROUND 5 MPH.

TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WIND NEAR 5 MPH.

SUNDAY…MOSTLY SUNNY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. BREEZY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

SUNDAY NIGHT…THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 80 PERCENT.

LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH AROUND 80. WEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S.

TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH AROUND 80. LOW AROUND 60.

WEDNESDAY…MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID 80S.

(Podcast) Skyscan Weather Forecast: Sat., Aug. 30 2014

Podcasts, Weather

August 30th, 2014 by Ric Hanson

The (podcast) KJAN listening area forecast & weather information for Atlantic.

Play

NWS forecast for Atlantic & the KJAN listening area: 8/30/14

Weather

August 30th, 2014 by Ric Hanson

Today Areas of fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 83. West northwest wind 5 to 7 mph.
Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 64. Light and variable wind becoming south southeast 5 to 7 mph after midnight.

Sunday A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Breezy, with a south wind 8 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday Night Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 7pm. Low around 65. South southeast wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

Labor Day A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. West southwest wind 8 to 10 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon.
Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.

Tuesday A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 80

Hazardous Weather Outlook for western/sw IA & eastern NE

Weather

August 29th, 2014 by Ric Hanson

IA COUNTIES: MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY-FREMONT-
PAGE…1130 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014

DAY ONE…THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING MAINLY OVER EXTREME EASTERN NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST IOWA AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN…ISOLATED STORMS COULD ALSO BRIEFLY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL.

MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME SMALL STREAMS IN THE LOCAL AREA THIS AFTERNOON. FLOODING WILL ALSO OCCUR ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER FROM AROUND BROWNVILLE DOWNSTREAM TO PAST RULO.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COULD AGAIN MOVE INTO NORTHEAST NEBRASKA BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE SUNDAY AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVE THROUGH THE REGION.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY…MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS…LARGE HAIL…AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.  MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AROUND AND DOWNSTREAM FROM BROWNVILLE.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. HOWEVER…SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER ONE INCH TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT OMAHA. ALSO REPORT HAIL DIME SIZE OR LARGER AND STRONG WINDS IF THEY OCCUR.