Officials with the Shelby County Emergency Management Agency say due to increased winds, recent area fires, and lack of rain the last few days, the Shelby County Fire Danger Index will remain in the “Moderate Category,” until Thursday, May 2nd.
COUNTIES IN WESTERN IOWA: MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY-FREMONT-PAGE-
1124 AM CDT MON APR 29 2013/NWS-VALLEY,NE
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT…
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST IOWA…
MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM DAVID CITY TO ONAWA. THE STRONGEST
STORMS COULD PRODUCE HAIL…MOSTLY SMALL HAIL…AND GUSTY WINDS.
TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.…
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL POSSIBLE FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT…MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM COLUMBUS TO
ONAWA. A FEW STORMS COULD BE SEVERE. LARGE HAIL SHOULD BE THE MAIN
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.
Here’s the Freese-Notis (Podcast) weather forecast for Atlantic & the KJAN listening area, and weather data for Atlantic.
346 AM CDT MON APR 29 2013
EARLY THIS MORNING…PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. SOUTH WIND NEAR 10 MPH.
TODAY…PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WIND NEAR 5 MPH.
TONIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE MIDNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY…PARTLY SUNNY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE MID 70S. TEMPERATURE STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING IN THE AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT…THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT…THEN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. BREEZY…COOLER. LOW IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WIND 15 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY…SHOWERS…BREEZY. MUCH COOLER. HIGH IN THE MID 40S. TEMPERATURE STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING IN THE AFTERNOON. NORTH WIND AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 80 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. BREEZY…COLDER. LOW IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT.
THURSDAY…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. BREEZY. HIGH IN THE MID 40S.
445 AM CDT SUN APR 28 2013
EARLY THIS MORNING...CLEAR. SOUTH WIND NEAR 5 MPH.
TODAY…MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
TONIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. LOW IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WIND NEAR 10 MPH.
MONDAY…PARTLY SUNNY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MID MORNING. HIGH IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WIND NEAR 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY…PARTLY SUNNY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE MID 70S. TEMPERATURE STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING IN THE AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TUESDAY NIGHT…THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THROUGH MIDNIGHT…THEN SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY…RAIN…BREEZY. MUCH COOLER. HIGH IN THE LOWER 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT.
The (podcast) Freese-Notis weather forecast for Atlantic and the KJAN listening area, and weather data for Atlantic…
359 AM CDT FRI APR 26 2013
EARLY THIS MORNING…PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
TODAY…PARTLY SUNNY. BREEZY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WIND NEAR 10 MPH.
SATURDAY…PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WIND NEAR 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY…MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE MID 50S.
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH IN THE MID 70S. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S.
The Shelby County Emergency Management Agency says due to a warming trend, the likelihood of increased winds and a dryer forecast over the next few days, the fire danger rating will be bumped up to “MODERATE,” through Monday, April 29th. The fire danger index had been in the “Low” category for more than a week, because of recent rains.
Controlled burns should be monitored closely, and property owners should contact their local fire chief before any burns are initiated.
A self-described “storm chaser” says it’s getting more hazardous to pursue his passion, not because of severe weather but due to so many amateurs who also chase storms. Jon Davies is a Kansas City-based meteorologist who seeks out destructive weather systems, though he knows storm chasers have a bad reputation for putting themselves in harm’s way. “Storm chasing can be exciting and dangerous at times,” Davies says. “Unlike those characters in ‘Twister,’ we see Bill Paxton and Helen Hunt, unlike them, I don’t tie myself to a pipe in a barn with sharp instruments around, above ground when an EF-5 tornado is bearing down.”
That 1996 film was shot partly in Iowa. While tornadoes can strike in any month, we’re now starting tornado season in Iowa. Davies, who saw his first tornado at age nine, says storm chasers can be grouped into four categories: researchers, amateur hobbyists, storm tour operators and media chasers. “Of course, with the movie ‘Twister’ and all these TV shows like The Discovery Channel’s ‘Storm Chasers,’ there’s more traffic out there these days,” Davies says. “Sometimes, things get kind of crowded out there. The weather isn’t the most dangerous thing out there sometimes now, it’s the traffic.”
Davies chased an EF-4 twister that killed 13 people at a mobile home park in Andover, Kansas, in 1991. Davis also chased the Daykin-to-Hallam tornado in Nebraska, a destructive twister nine years ago that remained on the ground for more than 50 miles. Davies says storm chasers need to be especially cautious when encountering rain-wrapped tornadoes or those that strike at night. “I do encourage people who want to storm chase, don’t treat it casually like, ‘I think I’ll go out there and look at that storm and put my family in the car to do it,’ you need to know what you’re doing and you also need to not block the roads.”
Davies worked at The Weather Channel in the 1980s and got into storm chasing, which he says is his motivation for researching the weather. He’s published research on components of instability and wind shear and the probability of major tornadoes forming. He and his wife have published a book for kids: “Storm Chasers! On the Trail of Twisters.”