**RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT (See weather page for details)**
Today: Sunny, with a high near 95. Windy, with a south southwest wind 6 to 11 mph increasing to 18 to 23 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph.
Tonight: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Breezy, with a southwest wind 12 to 17 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Northeast wind 6 to 11 mph.
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. East northeast wind 5 to 9 mph.
Thursday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. East wind 6 to 11 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 80.
421 AM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013
…RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW…OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS…LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY…AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.
* TIMING…THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DIP BELOW 25 PERCENT BY NOON AND CONTINUE TO DECREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN 1 PM AND 5 PM TODAY. * AFFECTED AREA…WEST CENTRAL TO NORTH CENTRAL IOWA.
* WIND…SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY…AS LOW AS 17 PERCENT.
* FUEL…MANY WILD GRASSES ARE NOT FULLY GREEN AS A RESULT OF THE LATE SPRING AND COULD POTENTIALLY BURN MORE EASILY THAN IS TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
* IMPACTS…FIRES WILL SPREAD QUICKLY IN THESE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS AND BURNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.
355 AM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013
…RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS…SOMEWHAT DRY FUELS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR MUCH OF EASTERN NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST IOWA. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
* WIND…SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH OR HIGHER THIS AFTERNOON.
* HUMIDITY…SEVERAL HOURS OF WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 20 PERCENT IS POSSIBLE.
* IMPACTS…ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW…OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS…LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY…AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
The National Weather Service in Valley, NE, says today’s Grassland Fire Danger Category in eastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa, is Very High. The next two days will be hot and dry, leaving conditions for rapid fire development extremely high. If you plan to burn remember to plan ahead and take all necessary precautions as winds and low humidity levels will create conditions for fast and out of control fires.
The Shelby County Emergency Management Agency says due to forecast low relative humidity and high wind conditions, along with the presence of dry fine fuels, the fire danger rating in the County is being upgraded to HIGH. Controlled burns should be avoided for the next couple of days. Notify your local fire chief if outdoor burning is planned.
Officials are asking participating agencies to place their “Fire Danger” signs in the High category. The rating will be re-evaluated on Thursday, May 16th, or before as conditions dictate.
An impressive warming trend remains certain across Iowa today into Tuesday. The warmest day is forecast on Tuesday where near record or record high temperatures are anticipated. Lower to middle 90s for highs will be common over central Iowa. Windy southwest winds and very dry relative humidity will lead to an enhanced fire danger over western and northern Iowa Tuesday afternoon. A cold front will sweep across the state Tuesday night and provide a slight chance of thunderstorms. Cooler temperatures are expected by Wednesday.
The Freese-Notis (podcast) forecast for Atlantic & the KJAN listening area, and weather data for Atlantic…
400 AM CDT MON MAY 13 2013
…NEAR RECORD HIGHS TUESDAY…
EARLY THIS MORNING…PARTLY CLOUDY. SOUTH WIND NEAR 5 MPH.
TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. BREEZY…WARMER. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT…MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
TUESDAY…MOSTLY SUNNY. HOT…BREEZY. HIGH IN THE MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
WEDNESDAY…PARTLY SUNNY. NOT AS WARM. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S.
THURSDAY…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S.
310 PM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE KJAN LISTENING AREA, INCLUDING THESE COUNTIES...
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT: NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY: ON TUESDAY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH AT TIMES WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING TO AROUND 30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN ENHANCED FIRE DANGER…ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN IOWA.
LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST AT TIMES BETWEEN TUESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY…MAINLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 20. THERE IS A LOW SEVERE WEATHER THREAT DURING THIS TIME FRAME. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL THEN INCREASE WITH SEVERAL ROUNDS OF STORMS LIKELY FROM LATE THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES WILL BE HIGHER AT TIMES DURING THIS PERIOD…BUT THE DETAILS OF THE THREATS ARE STILL UNCLEAR AT THIS RANGE.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BECOME POSSIBLE BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
(NWS/Des Moines/8:15-a.m. update)
TODAY…MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WIND NEAR 10 MPH.
TONIGHT…MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WIND NEAR 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MONDAY…PARTLY SUNNY. WARMER. HIGH IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY…MOSTLY SUNNY. BREEZY…WARMER. HIGH IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TUESDAY NIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE LOWER 60S.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY…PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S.