816 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
NORTHEASTERN AUDUBON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL IOWA…
SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL IOWA…
SOUTHWESTERN GREENE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL IOWA…
NORTHERN GUTHRIE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL IOWA…
* UNTIL 900 PM CDT
* AT 811 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR COON
RAPIDS…AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
HAZARD…QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
IMPACT…HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS…SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
GUTHRIE CENTER…COON RAPIDS…BAYARD…BAGLEY…YALE AND SCRANTON.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM…AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!
AREA COUNTIES: CRAWFORD-CARROLL-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-ADAMS-UNION-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD….. 816 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013
…FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING…
* RECENT RAINFALL HAS PRODUCED SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA…AND SEVERAL ROUNDS OF ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE WATCH AREA
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY…WITH THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL TONIGHT INTO
EARLY SATURDAY. AMPLE MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE AND THESE
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. GIVEN THE
SATURATED CONDITIONS… EXCESSIVE RUNOFF MAY BECOME A PROBLEM
VERY QUICKLY LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING.
* SIGNIFICANT AND LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.
PERSONS LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE
ACTION. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS! AS LITTLE AS
6 INCHES OF RUNNING WATER CAN SWEEP A VEHICLE OFF THE ROAD. IN
ADDITION…SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AFTER THIS
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 340 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013
TORNADO WATCH 313 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE: FREMONT HARRISON MILLS MONONA MONTGOMERY PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE & WOODBURY.
AREA COUNTIES: CRAWFORD-CARROLL-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-ADAMS-UNION-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO
TONIGHT. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY…
THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL REMAIN INTO SATURDAY WITH SEVERE
WEATHER ONCE AGAIN POSSIBLE BY AFTERNOON WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL.
THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES REMAIN FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING ALTHOUGH THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS MINIMAL.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EMERGE ONCE AGAIN BY NEXT THURSDAY BUT THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CANNOT BE DETERMINED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS WELL
AS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
MASON CITY, Iowa (AP) – Assessment teams have confirmed that at least five tornadoes touched down in north-central Iowa. Officials say no injuries or deaths have been reported from Wednesday’s storms, which damaged homes, businesses and farm buildings. One that hit within a mile of Belmond rated EF3 on the tornado scale, with winds of 155 mph. Meteorologists say its 200-yard-wide path ran for eight miles.
Another that came down near Belmond was rated EF0, which on the scale means the winds ranged from 65 to 85 mph. A third tornado struck the ground about a mile north of Alexander, carrying winds estimated at 112 mph, damaging some farm buildings. Two tornadoes reported near Hampton were rated as an EF1, with 90 mph winds, and an EF0, with winds up to 70 mph.
Here’s the Freese-Notis (Podcast) weather forecast for Atlantic & the KJAN listening area, and weather information for Atlantic…
402 AM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013
EARLY THIS MORNING…SCATTERS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. NORTHEAST WIND NEAR 10 MPH. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 70 PERCENT.
TODAY…MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING…THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 60 PERCENT.
TONIGHT…THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOW IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 70 PERCENT.
SATURDAY…THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGH IN THE MID 80S. TEMPERATURE STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING IN THE AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WIND NEAR 5 MPH. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 60 PERCENT.
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY…PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE MID 60S. HIGH IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WIND NEAR 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE MID 60S.
MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S.
The Freese-Notis forecast for Atlantic & the KJAN listening area, & weather information for Atlantic…
347 AM CDT THU JUN 13 2013
EARLY THIS MORNING...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH.
TODAY…MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH AROUND 80. NORTHEAST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
TONIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING…THEN A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. LOW IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY…MOSTLY CLOUDY. BREEZY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MID MORNING…THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY BEFORE NOON. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 60 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THROUGH MIDNIGHT…THEN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 70 PERCENT.
SATURDAY…THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WIND NEAR 5 MPH. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 70 PERCENT.
SATURDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE UPPER 60S.
SUNDAY…PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH IN THE LOWER 80S.
SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE MID 60S.
Much of the country will see severe thunderstorms today and parts could even see a storm called a derecho (Dur-ray-shoh). But National Weather Service meteorologist, Frank Boksa, says don’t expect to see it here. “It would not be in Iowa, or if it was, it would probably initiate in very far eastern Iowa, but it would be more in the Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana area,” Boksa says. Iowa saw a derecho back in July of 2011 that did a lot of damage to homes, trees and power lines.
A derecho is basically a very widespread, long-lived line of thunderstorms. And they are very fast moving and they produce extreme damaging wind. By they I mean 65-70-75-miles-an-hour or more,” according to Boksa. Iowa won’t see anything like that, but will see some heavy thunderstorms. “Thunderstorms will develop kind of over northeastern and far eastern Iowa and then push off into Illinois and Indiana this afternoon,” Boksa says. “We should see some strong storms out of this, but it should be fairly short lived. We should pretty much be done with it in central Iowa by seven p-m and in eastern Iowa certainly by 10.” The weather is expected to continue a pattern of a few dry days followed by thunderstorms and rain through the next week. Boksa says that’s pretty much the norm.
“This is the time of year for thunderstorms. We do get a fair amount of rain and thunderstorms in May and June, so it’s not atypical by any stretch,” he says, “in fact I think the peak of severe weather in June is about the 15th.” The rains are not quite as welcome this June after a record wet spring that’s kept farmers out of the fields and led to flooding in many parts of the state.