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Forecasters: El Nino is coming, may mean warmer, wetter winter

News, Weather

September 19th, 2018 by Ric Hanson

(Radio Iowa) — This is the last week of summer and forecasters at the National Climate Center are raising the odds of an El Nino weather pattern impacting our region soon. Meteorologist Dennis Todey, director of the U-S-D-A’s Midwest Climate Hub in Ames, says we may see a shift within a few months. “We get into El Nino conditions maybe by late fall but probably by mid-winter,” Todey says. “The probability is around 65 to 70% chance right now.”

Forecasting models indicate a weak El Nino is most likely, Todey says, but that’s just at the moment. “This one will probably not be a particularly strong one,” he says, “so, therefore, what we expect out of this, we can’t assume as much out of it this time. Typically, we talk about El Nino winters as higher likelihood of being warmer than average throughout most of the Northern Plains, the northern Midwest. That’s still the thinking.”

Todey says it’s a safer bet the impacts of the weather pattern will be felt more next year than this fall. “The other thing, when we have El Ninos, we expect a better chance of precipitation as you get into springtime,” Todey says. “The indications for fall aren’t as strong and we’re really not being impacted by El Nino right now, so, we can’t say too much about the fall as being too much different from average right now.”

Forecasts for the last three months of the year show near-normal temperatures and precipitation are likely for the region.

Local 24-Hour Rainfall Totals ending at 7:00 am on Wednesday, September 19

Ag/Outdoor, Weather

September 19th, 2018 by Jim Field

  • KJAN, Atlantic  .31″
  • 7 miles NNE of Atlantic  .56″
  • Wiota  1.6″
  • Massena  .11″
  • Elk Horn  .66″
  • Audubon  .82″
  • Oakland  .15″
  • Adair  .03″
  • Guthrie Center  .53″
  • Neola  .21″
  • Villisca  1″
  • Corning  .87″
  • Underwood  .34″
  • Missouri Valley  .31″
  • Logan  .57″
  • Manning  .46″
  • Carroll  .56″
  • Denison  .22″
  • Red Oak  .7″
  • Creston  .27″
  • Clarinda  .46″
  • Shenandoah  .4″

Special Weather Statement for Fog (9/19/18)

Weather

September 19th, 2018 by Ric Hanson

Area Counties: Sac-Crawford-Carroll-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Cass-Adair-Madison-Adams-Union-Taylor and Ringgold….

Areas of dense fog have developed overnight and early this morning across portions of central, western, and southern Iowa. Scattered areas have seen visiblities drop to a mile or less, with others beginning to see restrictions as well. Travel this morning should be with caution, including usage of fog lights and reduced speeds.

Storms bring hail, strong wind and power outages to the area

News, Weather

September 19th, 2018 by Ric Hanson

Strong storms that moved into western Iowa Tuesday afternoon, brought hail, winds of up to 60 miles per hour, and caused scattered power outages. According to the National Weather Service, a thunderstorm wind gust of up to 60-mph at around 3-p.m. was recorded by an Iowa DOT system, and hail a bit larger than the size of peas was observed. The event occurred about two-miles south/southeast of Adair.

Four-miles north/northeast of Anita, about 10-minutes earlier, a DOT automated site recorded a 60-mile per hour gust of wind. Power lines and/or poles were reported down in Kimballton Tuesday afternoon, as well, after storms pushed their way through Shelby and Audubon Counties.

There were no other, immediate reports of damage or injuries.

Skyscan Forecast for Atlantic & the area: 9/19/2018

Weather

September 19th, 2018 by Ric Hanson

Today: Partly cloudy w/isolated showers & thunderstorms this morning. High 88. S @ 10-20mph.

Tonight: P/Cldy w/isolated shwrs & tstrms. Low 70. S @ 10.

Tomorrow: P/Cldy, warm & humid w/scattered shwrs & tstrms. High 90. S @ 10-25.

Friday: Partly sunny & cooler. High 70.

Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 76.

Yesterday’s High in Atlantic was 85. Our Low 62. We received .31” rain here at the KJAN studios yesterday and overnight into this morning. Last year on this date our High was 85 and the Low was 63. The record High in Atlantic on this date was 95 in 1948. The Record Low was 33 in 1896 & 1938.

Skyscan Forecast & weather data for Atlantic: 9/18/18

Weather

September 18th, 2018 by Ric Hanson

Today: Variably cloudy w/scattered showers & thunderstorms possible, mainly this afternoon. High around 87. SE @ 15-25mph.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy w/scatt. Shwrs & tstrms. Low 68. SE @ 5-10.

Tomorrow: Partly cloudy w/scattered showers & thunderstorms. High 89. S @ 10-20.

Thursday: P/Cldy w/afternoon shwrs & tstrms possible. High 89.

Friday: Any showers ending early; Becoming P/Cldy. High 72.

Yesterday’s High in Atlantic was 92. Our Low 65. Last year on this date our High was 74and the Low was 62. The record High in Atlantic on this date was 99 in 1893. The Record Low was 26 in 1901.

Heat index today expected in the mid-90’s: Take precautions

News, Weather

September 17th, 2018 by Ric Hanson

The National Weather Service says unseasonably hot weather continues today, with temperatures and humidity far above normal and near the levels of two days ago. With the heat index approaching mid-90s this afternoon along with mostly sunny skies and light winds, the heat may be hazardous to those engaging in strenuous outdoor activities. Please be sure to drink plenty of water and take breaks in the shade or indoors.

Skyscan Forecast for Atlantic & the area, Monday – 9/17/18

Weather

September 17th, 2018 by Ric Hanson

Today: Partly cloudy, warm & humid. High near 90. S @ 15-25mph.

Tonight: P/Cldy. Low 70. S @ 10.

Tomorrow: Variably cloudy w/scattered showers & thunderstorms. High 86. SE @ 10-15.

Wednesday: P/Cldy w/isolated shwrs & tstrms. High 88.

Thursday: V/Cldy w/scatt. Shwrs & tstrms. High 86.

Yesterday’s High in Atlantic was 89. Our Low 61. Last year on this date our High was 75 and the Low was 51. The record High in Atlantic on this date was 97 in 1925. The Record Low was 31 in 1980.

Skyscan Forecast Saturday 09/15/2018

Podcasts, Weather

September 15th, 2018 by admin

Skyscan Forecast  Saturday, September 15, 2018  Dan Hicks

Today: Partly cloudy. Warm. S @ 10-20. High 87.

Tonight: Partly cloudy. S @ 10. Low 64.

Sunday: Partly cloudy. S @ 10-20. High 86.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Low 65.

Monday: Partly cloudy. High 87.

Tuesday:  Partly cloudy. Few isolated thunderstorms possible. High 85.

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Skyscan Weather Forecast for Atlantic & the area, 9/14/18

Weather

September 14th, 2018 by Ric Hanson

Today: Partly cloudy. High 86. S @ 10-20.

Tonight: P/Cldy. Low 66. S @ 10.

Tomorrow: P/Cldy. High 85. S @ 10-20.

Sunday: P/Cldy. High 85.

Monday: P/Cldy. High 86.

Yesterday’s High in Atlantic was 86. Our Low 65. Last year on this date our High was 89 and the Low was 66. The record High in Atlantic on this date was 99 in 1939. The Record Low was 29 in 1892.