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Atlantic School District enrollment numbers expected to decline slightly for the short term

News

May 25th, 2017 by Ric Hanson

An enrollment study commissioned by the Atlantic Community School District in advance of plans for improved academic and athletic facilities shows enrollment will experience some ebbs and flows over the next five-years. Robert Schwarz, with RSP and Associates in Overland Park, KS., projects overall enrollment for the 2017-18 school year (K-12) will be down seven students. A large drop of 42 students is anticipated for the 2018-19 school year, before a slight increase in enrollments happens for the 2019-20 and 2020-21 school years, and then a drop of 10 students for 2021-22.

A breakdown of the numbers shows a nearly steady enrollment for Washington Elementary at around 427, except for a jump from 2019-through 2022. At Schuler Elementary, the number of students are expected to decline for the 2018-2021 school year before rebounding a bit for 2021-22.

The Atlantic Middle School is expected to show a steady enrollment for much of the next five years, with a decline beginning in the 2021-22 school year. After experiencing a nearly steady enrollment for 2016-17 and 2017-18, the Atlantic High School is expected to realize a decline of 50 students during the 2018-19 school year, followed by a jump of more than a dozen students that leads to a steady increase through 2022.

With the exception of Schuler Elementary School, the District’s other buildings will experience an enrollment of students that exceeds the respective capacities of each building, caused by students in the lower grades moving up through the system. That’s especially true for Washington Elementary, where capacity is 396 students but the enrollment numbers are projected to be from 426 through 442 between 2017 and 2022. The Atlantic Middle School is also expected to be over its capacity of 338 students, with enrollment in excess of 360 for 2018 through 2021. As for the Atlantic High School, where student capacity is 441, the district is over capacity for 2017-18, just like with the 2016-17 school year, but then the enrollment numbers slip under the maximum for 2018-19 and indicate an increase for the remaining three-years in the study, but still under capacity.

Factors the School Board has to consider when it comes to the District’s facilities over the next five-years, according to Schwarz, is a possible influx of workers for the Elite Octane Ethanol Plant, and an increase in the number of single-family homes being constructed or being made available with aging seniors looking to downsize. Various infrastructure improvements may also bring more young families to the area.